Andererseits:

“Now let’s talk about another low-probability event: civilization getting wiped out by a giant asteroid colliding with the earth. Astrophysicists have calculated that the chance of this happening in any given year is approximately 1 million to 1. Since our simian ancestors have roamed the planet for over 7 million years, the probability that an asteroid would have wiped us all out by now is roughly 700 percent. In other words, we should all be dead – not once, not twice, but seven times over. However, as most of you already know, since the recorded history of mankind, humanity has never been annihilated.

So what’s my point? Well, it’s not that we’re all going to be killed by an asteroid. Instead I want you understand something about low-probability events, and that is this: Shit happens.”

aus “Improbable” von Adam Fawer

Berechnet nach dieser Vorlage.

Demnach unwahrscheinlicher als Jackpot-Knacken beim Lotto…

Servus,
Stephan